Wednesday, 8 August 2012

US farmers set for bumper 2013 corn plantings - CF

7th Aug 2012, by Agrimoney
US farmers are to match this year's huge corn sowings in 2013 to capitalise on high prices, CF Industries said as the fertilizer group flagged hopes for prospects after a quarter in which its results missed Wall Street forecasts.

Having taken 75 years to return to 96m acres, US corn plantings will stay there next year, according to CF, which said its forecast was implied by the level to which prices of the grain have rallied to.

Chicago's best-traded December corn contract closed at $8.00 ½ a bushel on Tuesday, up nearly 60% since mid-June, when fears for the impact of US drought on yields sparked a rallly in grain and oilseed prices.

"Tight global grain stocks have supported strong prices and created conditions for continued high crop plantings," Stephen Wilson, the CF chairman and chief executive, said.

Downside to dryness

With strong US sowings ahead for corn, a nutrient-hungry crop, CF was upbeat over the region's demand for nitrogen fertilizers, which make up the great majority of the group's portfolio.

Indeed, demand for ammonia would be accentuated by a run-down in North American stocks of the fertilizer to "at or near historically-low level", following a strong spring sowing season.

This shrinkage in inventories had created a "significant need, as well as potential challenges," to restocking the region's supply chain for the nutrient.

However, while forecasting "strong demand" too for urea, the other main form of nitrogen fertilizer, CF also acknowledged a headwind from the US drought, in its impact on autumn planting plans.

"Dry weather across the US wheat growing regions may delay fall fertilization," CF said.

In the southern state of Texas, where the autumn sowing window is opening farmers are awaiting "rain and cooler temperatures as small grain seeding preparations continued" last week, US Department of Agriculture officials said.

Earnings rise

The comments came as CF unveiled a 24% rise to $606.3m in earnings, or $9.31 per share, for the April-to-June quarter.

However, excluding one-off items, earnings per share came to $8.65, below the $8.91 that Wall Street had expected.

Revenues fell 3.7% to $1.74bn, also missing market expectations of a $1.95bn figure.

The drop in revenues reflected the impact of the early start to the US spring sowing season, which squeezed supplies of urea available for sale in the April-to-June period, when demand for ammonia eased after an unusually early seasonal rise.

CF shares closed up 1.3% at $206.07 in New York, within range of the record high of $208.43 set three weeks ago.

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