Wen says China needs measures to give slumping exports a push

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Posted: Tuesday, Aug 28, 2012
Beijing: Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao has called for efforts to stabilize weakening exports amid signs the country's economy is weakening despite stimulus efforts. Wen's weekend comments during a visit to Guangdong province, an export center in the southeast, follow a wave of bankruptcies that has raised the threat of job losses and unrest. That comes at a sensitive time as the Communist Party prepares to hand over power to younger leaders.

“The third quarter of the year is a critical period for China to realise the year's export growth target and we should take targeted steps to stabilize growth,” Wen said, according to the official Xinhua News Agency.

The report gave no indication of possible measures but Beijing previously has promised tax cuts and loans by state banks to help struggling exporters.

Export growth in July fell to just 1 percent, well below forecasts, from the previous month's 11.3% growth due to weak demand in debt-crippled Europe, China’s biggest export market, and the United States, which is struggling with a sluggish recovery.

Beijing cut interest rates twice in June and is pumping money into the economy through higher spending on public works construction. Authorities have resisted pressure for more aggressive stimulus after huge spending in response to the 2008 crisis fueled inflation and a wasteful building boom.

China's August manufacturing activity fell to a nine-month low, according to the preliminary version of HSBC Corp.'s monthly purchasing managers' index. It said new export orders fell at their fastest rate in three years.

Trade contributes a much smaller share of China's growth than it did a decade ago but export-dependent manufacturers that supply the world with clothes, toys, shoes, furniture and other goods employ millions of people. The plunge in demand since the 2008 crisis has forced thousands of small producers out of business and survivors have cut payrolls.

The International Monetary Fund and private sector forecasters expect China's economy to grow by about 8% this year. That is robust compared with low single-digit growth expected in the United States and a contraction in Europe but painful for Chinese companies accustomed to a rapid expansion.

Analysts expect China to rebound late this year or in early 2013 but say a recovery will be too gradual and weak to drive global growth if the United States and Europe fail to improve.

The government set a target of 10 percent trade growth this year. Trade grew by 9.2% over the first half but that rate fell to 7.8% for the first seven months of the year, making the annual target look increasingly hard to meet.

In the southeastern port of Wenzhou, an export center, a local business association says 10% of its 3,000 member companies have closed and 20% are in trouble, the government newspaper China Daily reported Monday. Chinese leaders have talked repeatedly about the need to stabilize foreign demand but they have few ways to encourage consumer spending abroad when key export markets are hurt by Europe's debt crisis.