Monday 26 August 2013

BHP to Pursue Potash Venture on Strong Return Expectation

By Nichola Saminather - Aug 25, 2013
Bloomberg
BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP), the world’s biggest miner, will proceed with its plans for a Canadian potash project that has been called “misguided” by its biggest shareholder, driven by the prospect of strong investor returns.

“We are continuing on this investment because we strongly believe, and we’ve talked a lot about it with the board, this is going to offer very high returns for shareholders in the decades to come,” Chief Executive Officer Andrew Mackenzie said in an interview yesterday on the Australian Broadcasting Corp.’s ‘Inside Business’ program, according to an e-mailed transcript. “We have the best undeveloped green field mine on offer to the world and what we are doing, we will be prepared to respond very quickly to the market when it’s needed.”

Russia’s OAO Uralkali, the largest potash producer, in July quit a marketing venture with Belarus’s state producer that controlled about 43 percent of global exports and kept limits on production, and signaled prices may fall by as much as a quarter. BHP said Aug. 20 that its projections for the project assume a shift away from the current market dynamic.

Melbourne-based BHP last week said it’s seeking partners for the Jansen project after approving spending of $2.6 billion. The company has been approached and has approached possible purchasers of a stake in the project, Mackenzie said then. Jansen may cost $16 billion to build, Citigroup Inc. said last month.

‘Add Value’

“I’m looking for a partner that will add value,” Mackenzie said in a separate interview with the Australian Financial Review newspaper, aired on the Nine Network yesterday. The potential partners are in “a wider range than just some of our mining peers that would be interested in a project like this.”

BHP shares have slipped 3.9 percent this year, compared with a 10.2 percent gain in the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index.

Blackrock’s Evy Hambro, who manages the $7 billion World Mining Fund, said Aug. 7 that BHP’s plan for its Canadian potash project Jansen doesn’t make sense after Uralkali’s decision, given the expectation for lower prices.

Hambro “said what he has always said to me, which is that he can see the value of that in the long term, as long as we don’t spend too much on it right now,” Mackenzie said in yesterday’s interview. “We will take our time about pushing the button of the development of a major mine that will absolutely reflect our ability to afford it but more importantly, the ability to earn strong returns for our shareholders.”

Potash is a fertilizer ingredient that strengthens plant roots and improves their resistance to drought.

Shelved Projects

Andrew Mackenzie, 56, succeeded Marius Kloppers as CEO of BHP in May. In August last year Kloppers put major project approvals, including Jansen, on hold amid lower prices and waning demand for raw materials. Projects that remain shelved include the Olympic Dam iron-ore port expansion in South Australia and the outer harbor iron ore project in Western Australia.

BHP is still optimistic about growth in iron-ore as Chinese steel production continues to expand.

“They have a lot of additional steel that they need to build into their economy,” Mackenzie said in the interview with the Financial Review. “To get to U.S. levels, they’d have to effectively add two more times the amount of steel they’ve got currently in the economy. That’s going to take time, so we can look to a good future for the growth in iron ore to feed that steel demand.”

‘High Returns’

The company last week said second-half profit fell 6.9 percent to $6.7 billion as slowing emerging market growth sapped demand for raw materials and dragged prices lower. BHP cut capital spending this fiscal year as investors including Blackrock pressure mining companies to defer expansions and acquisitions.

“We chose potash because in the medium to long term it offered the kind of competitive high returns that we would expect to deliver to our investors,” Mackenzie said yesterday. “For the projects that we didn’t do, they haven’t gone forever,” he said, adding the company will monitor technological advancements and global demand for iron ore before making a decision.

GRAINS-U.S. corn up 3.7 pct, soy at 11-month high as dry weather hurts crops

Mon Aug 26, 2013
* Dec corn hits highest since July 24, wheat up 1.5 pct

* Soybeans climb to 11-month top on dry weather threat

* Hot, dry weather in U.S. Midwest risks hurting crop yields
By Naveen Thukral
SINGAPORE, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Chicago corn rallied 3.7 percent on Monday to a one-month peak and soy rose to its highest since September as hot and dry weather in parts of the
U.S. Midwest threatened to cut output.

Wheat jumped 1.5 percent to its highest in more than two weeks, buoyed by gains in corn and soybean futures.

Lack of rain and high temperatures in the U.S. grain belt could curb production of what is being estimated as a record U.S. corn crop. Soybeans are also vulnerable to dry weather as
the crop is entering its key pod-filling stage.

Corn and soybeans were planted late this season due to excessively wet spring weather, leaving each crop well behind their normal maturity pace and exposed to harsh weather in
August.

"The U.S. grain belt is experiencing above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation," said Joyce Liu, investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore. "This could
result in lower yields than what was expected earlier."

Chicago Board of Trade December corn jumped to $4.87-1/4 a bushel by 0306 GMT, after rising to $4.88-1/2 a bushel, its highest since July 24. November soybeans rose 3.5 percent to $13.74-1/2 a bushel.

Hot and dry weather this week in the western U.S. Midwest will put stress on developing corn and soybeans despite some recent showers, agricultural meteorologist World Weather Inc.
said.

U.S. corn and soybean production will fall below the government's current forecasts but farmers can still expect a bin-busting harvest, farm advisory Pro Farmer said on Friday.

Pro Farmer projected record U.S. 2013 corn production of 13.46 billion bushels, based on a yield of 154.1 bushels per acre, using data collected during last week's four-day Midwest
crop tour, plus other market variables.

The figures compare to the U.S. agriculture department's (USDA) latest forecast of a 13.763 billion-bushel crop with a yield of 154.4 bushels per acre.

On soybeans, Pro Farmer forecast U.S. production at 3.158 billion bushels, with an average yield of 41.8 bushels per acre - which would be the fourth-largest in history. The estimate is
3 percent below USDA's current outlook for a crop of 3.255 billion bushels with a yield of 42.6 bushels per acre.

Large speculators trimmed their net short positions in Chicago Board of Trade corn futures in the week to Aug. 20, regulatory data released on Friday showed.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's weekly commitments of traders report also showed that noncommercial traders, a category that includes hedge funds, increased their
net short position in CBOT wheat and raised their net long position in soybeans.

Spot-month wheat climbed to $6.44 a bushel, after touching $6.47 a bushel earlier in the day, its highest since August 8.

(Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

GRAINS-Soybeans hit 11-mth high, corn surges 2 pct on Pro Farmer findings

Mon Aug 26, 2013
SYDNEY, Aug 26 (Reuters) - U.S. soybeans rose more than 2 percent to hit an 11-month high on Monday, while corn surged nearly 2.5 percent after forecasts from Pro Farmer raised fears
that U.S. production would fall short of government predictions.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Chicago Board of Trade December soybeans were up 2.26 percent at $13.58 a bushel, after earlier touching $13.63-3/4 a bushel, the highest since September 25, 2012.
Soybeans firmed 3.2 percent on Friday.

* December corn rose 2.45 percent to $4.81-1/2 a bushel, having gained 1.2 percent in the previous session.

* December wheat gained 1 percent to $6.52-3/4 a bushel, after closing up 0.86 percent on Friday.

* After the close of U.S. trading on Friday, Pro Farmer pegged 2013 U.S. corn production at a record high 13.46 billion bushels but below the U.S. Department of Agriculture's (USDA)
August outlook for 13.763 billion.

Pro Farmer saw the U.S. soybean crop at 3.158 billion bushels, below USDA's August outlook for 3.255 billion.

* Hot and dry weather next week in the western U.S. Midwest will put stress on developing corn and soybeans despite some showers this week, World Weather Inc said on Friday.

* The soybean crop is in its pod-setting stage of development and hot weather now can cause the pods to either not form soybean seeds or to abort seeds, trimming yield prospects.

MARKET NEWS

* The dollar was broadly steady against its major counterparts in Asia on Monday and near enough to some long-lasting support levels that the decline of the past few weeks suggests a rebound is probably on the cards.

* A rise in gasoline futures helped oil prices pull higher on Friday following news of a unit shutdown at a Canadian East Coast refinery.

* U.S. stocks rose in light trading on Friday, led by a jump in Microsoft shares, as trading took place without interruption a day after the Nasdaq stock exchange suffered an unprecedented,
three-hour trading halt.

  Grains prices at  0048 GMT
  Contract        Last    Change  Pct chg  Two-day chg MA 30   RSI
  CBOT wheat     652.75     6.75  +1.04%    +1.91%     660.32   52
  CBOT corn      481.50    11.50  +2.45%    +3.66%     474.89   61
  CBOT soy      1358.00    30.00  +2.26%    +5.54%    1244.69   64
  CBOT rice      $15.62    $0.04  +0.22%    +0.06%     $15.56   66
  WTI crude     $106.98    $0.56  +0.53%    +0.53%    $106.02   58
  Currencies                                               
  Euro/dlr       $1.339   $0.001  +0.05%    +0.25%
  USD/AUD         0.902    0.000  -0.02%    +0.13%
  Most active contracts
  Wheat, corn and soy US cents/bushel. Rice: USD per hundredweight
  RSI 14, exponential

(Reporting by Colin Packham; Editing by Joseph Radford)

Soybeans Rally to Highest Since June as Hot Weather Curbs Crops

By Phoebe Sedgman - Aug 26, 2013
Bloomberg
Soybeans surged to the highest level since June as hot, dry weather in the Midwest threatened to curb crop prospects in the U.S, the world’s biggest grower. Corn climbed to the highest price in a month and wheat advanced.

The oilseed gained as much as 4.6 percent to $13.8925 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade, the highest since June 6, and traded at $13.8175 at 1:48 p.m. in Singapore. Prices rose 5.5 percent last week, the third straight increase.

Futures lost 2 percent this year as the U.S. Department of Agriculture predicted that output may gain 8 percent to 3.255 bushels after drought hurt last year’s harvest. Production may be 3.158 billion bushels after planting delays and unusually cool, dry weather stunted growth, according to the Professional Farmers of America. Hot, mostly dry weather for most of the Midwest in the next seven to 10 days will put added stress on some crops, DTN said Aug. 23.

“The market’s increasingly getting a bit nervous about the soybean crop,” said Paul Deane, an agricultural economist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. The forecast from Pro Farmer, as the Cedar Falls, Iowa-based group is known, is “only adding to sentiment,” he said by phone today.

Corn for December surged as much as 4 percent to $4.89 a bushel, the highest since July 24, and was at $4.88. The corn harvest will be 13.46 billion bushels, less than the 13.763 billion estimated this month by the USDA, Pro Farmer said Aug. 23. The group made its projections after a four-day tour last week of 2,600 fields in seven Midwest states.

Wheat for delivery in December rose as much as 2.2 percent to $6.60 a bushel, the highest since Aug. 8, and traded at $6.5925.

Sugar Prices Seen Pressured by ISO on Fourth Year of Surplus

By Chanyaporn Chanjaroen - Aug 26, 2013
Bloomberg
Sugar prices may remain under pressure as the weakening currency of top producer Brazil helps global supplies exceed demand for a fourth consecutive year, according to the International Sugar Organization.

The depreciation of the real against the dollar has reduced the impact of lower sugar prices on producers, Executive Director Peter Baron said in an interview yesterday. The surplus will reach 4.5 million metric tons in the year starting Oct. 1, the London-based ISO said in an Aug. 22 report. Prices are set for a third annual drop this year, when the glut is forecast at a record 10.3 million tons. Baron didn’t give a price estimate.

Sugar plunged 40 percent since reaching a three-decade high in 2011 as growers from Brazil to Australia raised output. Prices will suffer “more losses” in 2013-2014 even as the surplus shrinks, the ISO said in the report. Exports from India, the second-biggest grower, may jump more than threefold next year as Asia’s worst performing currency spurs demand from importers, according to Shree Renuka Sugars Ltd. (SHRS), the country’s biggest refiner.

“As long as the fundamental situation persists at the moment, prices will remain under pressure,” Baron said in Bali, Indonesia, where he spoke at an industry conference today. “We now have production that is higher than consumption, export availability that is higher than import demand, and stock to consumption higher than 41 percent. Something massive must happen to change this situation.”

Price Declines

Sugar for October delivery closed at 16.47 cents a pound on ICE Futures U.S. on Aug. 23, down 16 percent this year. Futures touched a high of 36.08 cents in February 2011 and a three-year low of 15.93 on July 16.

While futures dropped, weakening currencies boosted the incentive for growers to ship more of the sweetener priced in dollars. The Indian rupee weakened 14 percent and Brazil’s real 13 percent this year, making them the second- and third-worst among 24 emerging-market currencies tracked by Bloomberg.

“In Brazil, production costs are in the order of 17 to 18 cents,” said Baron, who described the country as a price “setter”. “With the real’s depreciation against the dollar, they can still survive. Many currencies depreciated against the dollar, so the low prices didn’t hit them too hard.”

Thailand, the second-biggest exporter whose baht has dropped 4.3 percent, will crush 11 million tons from a record 105 million tons of sugarcane in the year starting November, according to Thai Sugar Millers Corp.

Record Supplies

Global production will fall 1.2 percent to 180.8 million tons, the first drop since 2008-2009, while demand expands 2.1 percent to 176.3 million tons, the ISO report showed. Sugar available for exports will climb to a record 57.1 million tons while import demand will fall for a third consecutive year.

World stockpiles will rise 0.5 percent to 74.4 million tons at the end of 2013-2014 and reserves as a percentage of consumption will fall to 42.2 percent from 42.9 percent, according to the report.

“Production is erratic, depending on the weather and rainfall, but consumption is relatively resilient,” said Baron, estimating growth at an annual average of about 2 percent, resulting in demand of 201 million tons in 2020.

Shipments by India may exceed 1 million tons in 2013-2014, Narendra Murkumbi, managing director of Mumbai-based Shree Renuka Sugars, said Aug. 21. Exports from the local crop may total 300,000 tons in the year that ends in September, according to the National Federation of Cooperative Sugar Factories Ltd.

Sugar Prices Seen Pressured by ISO on Fourth Year of Surplus

By Chanyaporn Chanjaroen - Aug 26, 2013
Bloomberg
Sugar prices may remain under pressure as the weakening currency of top producer Brazil helps global supplies exceed demand for a fourth consecutive year, according to the International Sugar Organization.

The depreciation of the real against the dollar has reduced the impact of lower sugar prices on producers, Executive Director Peter Baron said in an interview yesterday. The surplus will reach 4.5 million metric tons in the year starting Oct. 1, the London-based ISO said in an Aug. 22 report. Prices are set for a third annual drop this year, when the glut is forecast at a record 10.3 million tons. Baron didn’t give a price estimate.

Sugar plunged 40 percent since reaching a three-decade high in 2011 as growers from Brazil to Australia raised output. Prices will suffer “more losses” in 2013-2014 even as the surplus shrinks, the ISO said in the report. Exports from India, the second-biggest grower, may jump more than threefold next year as Asia’s worst performing currency spurs demand from importers, according to Shree Renuka Sugars Ltd. (SHRS), the country’s biggest refiner.

“As long as the fundamental situation persists at the moment, prices will remain under pressure,” Baron said in Bali, Indonesia, where he spoke at an industry conference today. “We now have production that is higher than consumption, export availability that is higher than import demand, and stock to consumption higher than 41 percent. Something massive must happen to change this situation.”

Price Declines

Sugar for October delivery closed at 16.47 cents a pound on ICE Futures U.S. on Aug. 23, down 16 percent this year. Futures touched a high of 36.08 cents in February 2011 and a three-year low of 15.93 on July 16.

While futures dropped, weakening currencies boosted the incentive for growers to ship more of the sweetener priced in dollars. The Indian rupee weakened 14 percent and Brazil’s real 13 percent this year, making them the second- and third-worst among 24 emerging-market currencies tracked by Bloomberg.

“In Brazil, production costs are in the order of 17 to 18 cents,” said Baron, who described the country as a price “setter”. “With the real’s depreciation against the dollar, they can still survive. Many currencies depreciated against the dollar, so the low prices didn’t hit them too hard.”

Thailand, the second-biggest exporter whose baht has dropped 4.3 percent, will crush 11 million tons from a record 105 million tons of sugarcane in the year starting November, according to Thai Sugar Millers Corp.

Record Supplies

Global production will fall 1.2 percent to 180.8 million tons, the first drop since 2008-2009, while demand expands 2.1 percent to 176.3 million tons, the ISO report showed. Sugar available for exports will climb to a record 57.1 million tons while import demand will fall for a third consecutive year.

World stockpiles will rise 0.5 percent to 74.4 million tons at the end of 2013-2014 and reserves as a percentage of consumption will fall to 42.2 percent from 42.9 percent, according to the report.

“Production is erratic, depending on the weather and rainfall, but consumption is relatively resilient,” said Baron, estimating growth at an annual average of about 2 percent, resulting in demand of 201 million tons in 2020.

Shipments by India may exceed 1 million tons in 2013-2014, Narendra Murkumbi, managing director of Mumbai-based Shree Renuka Sugars, said Aug. 21. Exports from the local crop may total 300,000 tons in the year that ends in September, according to the National Federation of Cooperative Sugar Factories Ltd.

Iran boosts iron exports to China, India as oil sales slump

Mon Aug 26, 2013
* Iran iron ore exports to China up 35 pct in Jan-July

* Iran sponge iron export to India set to jump to 500,000 T in 2013/14 -traders

* Sponge iron export routed through Dubai, Turkey - source
By Krishna N Das and Silvia Antonioli
NEW DELHI/LONDON, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Iran is raising its exports of iron ore and iron products to China and India in an attempt to replace at least a small part of the massive revenue that has been lost due to sanctions on its oil sales.

While Iran's oil exports have halved in the last few years due to western sanctions over the country's disputed nuclear program, iron ore exports have grown by more than 60 percent over the same period to an annual rate of about 25 million tonnes, worth about $3 billion a year at current prices.

The extra billion dollars a year that Iran is gaining from the additional iron exports, however, is still very small when compared with the loss in oil revenue of roughly $35 billion a year.

"Sanctions have forced Iran to look at other ways of earning export revenues besides oil and gas, and the mineral sector has been doing pretty well. I know there has been quite a substantial increase in things like iron ore exports," said Mehdi Varzi, a former official at the state-run National Iranian Oil Co, who now runs an energy consultancy in the UK.

Iran's oil revenue was $69 billion in 2012, according to estimates from the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

It has overtaken India to become the fourth-largest iron ore supplier to China in the last year. Iran's exports to the world's top iron ore consumer rose 35 percent to 13.4 million tonnes in the seven months to July, according to Chinese customs figures.

"We're selling more iron to India and China," said an Iranian industry source on condition of anonymity. "No money is coming directly to Iran because of the issues with currency (trading in dollars), so in some cases there are some barter deals, otherwise cargoes are paid mostly with cash."

Mines are "being opened every week" in Iran as businessmen there see it as a profitable business and one of the few sectors not sanctioned yet, said the source.

Chinese buyers of iron ore see Iran as a welcome alternative to leading suppliers Australia and Brazil.

While China primarily buys raw iron ore, the Islamic Republic is also boosting its exports to India of sponge iron, often referred to as direct-reduction iron.

Sponge iron is an alternative steelmaking ingredient produced by heating iron ore at a temperature high enough to burn off its carbon and oxygen content and is economically viable where natural gas is abundant and cheap.

Indian makers of sponge iron, the world's top producers, who are already grappling with high production costs, are suffering from the more aggressive Iranian exports.

Iran, the world's second-largest producer of sponge iron, has boosted its output of the iron product by about 50 percent so far this year, according to data from the World Steel Association.

Iranian sponge iron exports to India have risen to 80,000 tonnes in April-July from 45,000 tonnes for the whole of fiscal year ended March, said Prakash Tatia, a director at Mumbai-based sponge iron maker Welspun Maxsteel.

Tatia, who is also the vice-chairman of India's Sponge Iron Manufacturers Association (SIMA), said the data was based on inputs from port sources and traders in India and overseas.

SANCTION SAFE?

Some of Iran's growing iron ore production is being used to satisfy higher domestic consumption, since it is trying to make up for a collapse in imports of steel, a sector heavily affected by Western sanctions.

"As far as Iran goes I think the increase in iron exports is surprising to most given the sanctions imposed on them," said Kashaan Kamal, research analyst at commodity brokerage Sucden Financial in London.

Like iron ore, sponge iron does not directly come under Western sanctions, but if the exporter is part of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps or is on the U.S.' Specially Designated Nationals list, this could trigger sanctions on the foreign buyer, said Nathan Carleton, communications director at advocacy group United Against Nuclear Iran.

"If this sponge iron is also being used as a medium for barter, this could also trigger sanctions," Carleton said.

Buyers in India, however, appeared unconcerned about such a risk.

Welspun's Tatia said Iran was targeting selling 500,000 tonnes of sponge iron to India this fiscal year to take advantage of a drop in Indian output due to a shortage of iron ore and gas. He said the figure was given to Indian traders by Iranian ore exporters.

At current sponge iron prices of about $400 a tonne, this would represent revenue of about $200 million for Iran, a drain on India given its current account deficit, said Tatia.

Indian sponge iron companies are growing increasingly concerned over higher volumes of more aggressively-priced Iranian imports, said Deependra Kashiva, executive director at SIMA.

Foreign traders route their Iranian products via other countries to avoid any difficulty in getting letters of credit from banks, Kashiva said.

"All the countries surrounding Iran are benefiting from the situation as everyone has to buy via Dubai, via Turkey," said the Iranian industry source.

(Additional reporting by Ruby Lian in SHANGHAI, Alex Lawler and Peg Mackay in LONDON, and Manolo Serapio Jr in SINGAPORE; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

Iron ore seen climbing back above $140 on firmer steel

Mon Aug 26, 2013
* Shanghai rebar hits 1-1/2-week high, iron ore swaps firmer

* China economy on better footing, boost demand outlook
By Manolo Serapio Jr
SINGAPORE, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Spot iron ore prices are expected to bounce back to near five-month highs above $140 a tonne this week, supported by likely brisk steel demand in top
consumer China.

Shanghai steel futures hit a 1-1/2-week high on Monday as signs of a stabilising Chinese economy strengthened hopes for steel consumption, which seasonally peaks in September and
October along with construction activity.

Benchmark 62-percent grade iron ore .IO62-CNI=SI rose 0.7 percent to $138.60 a tonne on Friday, according to data compiler Steel Index.

The price of iron ore -- the biggest money spinner for top miners Vale and Rio Tinto  -- has rise in seven of the past eight weeks as Chinese mills rebuilt stockpiles to keep pace with brisk steel production.

Iron ore hit a high of $142.80 on Aug. 14, its loftiest since mid-March.

"Demand from the mills is still quite healthy and iron ore prices could go back up above $140," said a Shanghai-based trader.

"We are looking to buy because our stocks are very close to zero. In the short term, it seems difficult for prices to drop so it's good to have some stocks and sell them quickly."

China's economy is showing clear signs of stabilisation, helped by policy support and some improvement in global demand, and is on track to meet the government's 2013 growth target of
7.5 percent, the state statistics bureau said.

A pickup in China's manufacturing activity to the fastest pace in four months, based on data released last week, shows Beijing's efforts to boost the economy may be paying off.

China has launched a series of measures to support the economy, including scrapping taxes for small firms, offering more help for ailing exporters and accelerating investment in
urban infrastructure and railways.

That is boosting the outlook for demand for commodities including steel and iron ore, with prices recovering from first-half declines when a slower Chinese economy curbed demand.

The most-traded rebar contract for January delivery on the Shanghai Futures Exchange hit a session high of 3,848 yuan ($630) a tonne, a level last seen on Aug. 14.

It stood at 3,815 yuan by the midday break, up 0.3 percent.

Iron ore swaps <0#SGXIOS:> were also firmer, reflecting expectations spot prices could scale higher.

The September contract traded at $137.50 and $138 a tonne in early deals on Monday after settling at $137.06 on Friday, traders said. The October contract traded at $135, up from Friday's $134.25.

Tighter credit access towards steel firms could pose a risk going forward as Beijing curbs lending to sectors where there is overcapacity, said the Shanghai trader.

"The problem doesn't look that serious at the moment, but there's a potential risk which will affect steel demand," he said.

China has around 300 million tonnes of surplus steel output capacity, equivalent to nearly twice the output of the European Union last year.

 Shanghai rebar futures and iron ore indexes at 0337 GMT
  Contract                          Last    Change   Pct Change
  SHFE REBAR JAN4                   3815    +12.00        +0.32
  THE STEEL INDEX 62 PCT INDEX     138.6     +0.90        +0.65
  METAL BULLETIN INDEX            139.27     +0.53        +0.38

  Rebar in yuan/tonne
  Index in dollars/tonne, show close for the previous trading day
 ($1 = 6.1210 Chinese yuan)

(Reporting by Manolo Serapio Jr.; Editing by Richard Pullin)

Indian government veering round to slashing export duty on iron-ore

By: Ajoy K Das
26th August 2013
KOLKATA (Mining Weekly) - The Indian government was veering around for a cut in iron-ore export duties from 30% to 20%, with the country’s Finance Minister throwing his weight behind restarting stalled mining operations and exports.

The country’s highest-level economic policy-making body, the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA), was scheduled to take up the issue of pruning the export duty this week and reconcile difference within the government with the Steel Ministry and large sections of the steel-making industry opposing any move to reduce the duty.

Clearly indicating his position on the debate within the government, Finance Minister P Chidambaram said last week that the country had to export iron-ore.

“We need to restart iron ore mining,” he said, showing it as series of initiatives to step up inflow of dollars and a panacea to the high current account deficit ailing macro-economic indicators.

Mining Weekly previously reported that the government would shortly be seeking Supreme Court views on restarting iron-ore mining in the Indian provinces of Karnataka and Goa, which the Court banned t following widespread illegal mining.

Meanwhile, in the debate on whether to reduce export tax or not, the Commerce Ministry in favor of a cut, pointed out in a note circulated within the CCEA that iron-ore pit head stocks had increased 62% to about 120-million tonnes during 2012/13 across the provinces of Orissa, Jharkhand and Karnataka, and added that boosting exports through cuts in taxes would in no way impact raw material availability to domestic steel producers.

The Commerce Ministry also pointed out that domestic steel production required calibrated lump ore and since bulk of the iron-ore production from mines were fines, higher exports and raw material security from domestic production had slender linkages.

However, a Steel Ministry official said that a high export duty on iron-ore export was necessary to conserve precious natural resource for long-term use of the domestic industry. This would also facilitate growth strategy for domestic production of finished steel of 300-million tonnes a year by 2025, which had been endorsed the national manufacturing committee headed by the Prime Minister.

But with the Finance Minister, a senior member of CCEA, backing a restart of mining and boosting exports indicated that the government’s priority was to increase foreign currency inflow to address current account deficit in view of its short-term urgency over long-term objectives of conservation of natural resources, another government official counter-pointed.

He said that it was also the opportune moment to boost iron ore exports through lower taxes considering that Indian export offers for iron ore fines (Fe content 63.5% and above) had rallied to levels of $137/ t and $138/t, last week riding on aggressive re-stocking by Chinese steel mills compared to export offers in range of $120/t and $122/t in early July and local miner-exporters should not miss the current bull run in international markets and exploit opportunities for higher dollar earnings for the country.

Edited by: Esmarie Swanepoel

CIL budgets $624m for overseas capital expenditure in current fiscal

By: Ajoy K Das
26th August 2013
KOLKATA (Mining Weekly) – Indian major Coal India Limited (CIL) has budgeted some $624-million in capital expenditure during 2013/14 to develop its assets in Mozambique and partly fund new acquisitions during the year.

According to Coal Minister Sriprakash Jaiswal, CIL’s capital expenditure for domestic assets during the current year had been budgeted at $780-million.

He said that since early this year, the miner had received 32 proposals of acquisition of coal assets overseas or setting up joint ventures of which 17 were being considered by CIL.

CIL officials said that among the proposals received, the most prospective and progress had been made in talks with private owners of a coal asset in eastern Australia, which preliminary examination of data indicated initial opportunities to yield production of around 30-million tonnes a year of coal.

However, officials declined to identify the asset on grounds that non-disclosure agreements had been signed with several owners of assets from whom proposals had been received.

At least four non-disclosure agreements were signed by CIL last month and more would be concluded over the next month as a precursor to the appointed of merchant bankers from a panel already drawn-up and approved for the star of due diligence.

The officials said due diligence exercise had already commenced in case of the coal asset in eastern Australia.

Rio Tinto’s coal assets in Queensland were also on radar of CIL and preliminary discussions have been held between the two miners, although no confirmation was available from either CIL or the Coal Ministry.

According to the Coal Ministry, part of the funds earmarked for overseas investments would be riding on completing exploration work on CIL coal assets in Tete province in Mozambique by mid-2014, following which development plans for the blocks would be drawn up.

Officials in the Ministry said that first stage of the Mozambique project had been completed including geological mapping and marking of boundaries of the block.

CIL’s Mozambique project was being implemented by its wholly owned subsidiary Coal India Africana Limited, which won the developmental rights of the blocks from the government of Mozambique in 2009.

Edited by: Esmarie Swanepoel

Bids for mega power projects in Odisha, Tamil Nadu soon

SIDDHARTHA P. SAIKIA, THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
Domestic equipment firms to see orders coming their way

NEW DELHI, AUG. 25:
The Government is finally ready to call bids for the 4,000-MW each Ultra Mega Power Projects (UMPPs) in Odisha and Tamil Nadu, thus, ending the uncertainty over the launch of greenfield mega power projects.

The Power Ministry will start the process within a month’s time. This decision comes after an empowered group of Ministers (eGoM), headed by Defence Minister A.K. Antony, on Friday gave its approval to the latest standard bidding documents that would facilitate the bidding process.

“Each of these UMPPs would cost around Rs 40,000 crore leading to a capacity addition of about 8,000 MW. The equipment makers would also be benefited as new order flows would come,” a senior Power Ministry told Business Line.

The mega power projects will come up at Bedabahal in Odisha and Cheyyur in Tamil Nadu. Domestic equipment makers such as BHEL can expect fresh orders now. Power Finance Corporation Ltd (PFC) is the nodal agency for setting up of UMPPs. The Request for Qualification (RfQ) for the Odisha project was invited more than a year ago. However, because of non-finalisation of the bidding norms, the process could not be completed.

Nearly 20 companies have submitted RfQs for the power station. These include Jindal Power, Sterlite, JSW Energy, Nalco, Signature Energy, Welspun, Tata Power, NTPC, Jaiprakash Power Ventures, Torrent Power, L&T and Adani Power.

But, the earlier process will be scrapped and RfQs will be invited again, the Power Ministry official said.

The bidding process for the Tamil Nadu project was never started.

PROJECT SCRAPPED

Meanwhile, the Government has scrapped its proposal to set up a similar project at Surguja in Chhattisgarh as it did not get the required regulatory clearances. Nearly 22 companies had submitted RfQs for the Surguja power project, the highest number so far for a UMPP.

Other UMPPs are expected to come up in Jharkhand and Karnataka.

The Power Ministry expects the new norms to boost investors’ confidence.

“These documents will take care of risk associated with fuel price volatility and fuel availability as the fuel has been made a pass through. At the same time, clarity has been brought in the termination and other generic provisions in the contract,” the official said.

In addition, to cover the construction risk and termination risk of the lenders there is a proposal to cover debt due. The document also provides for compensating the investor by paying adjusted equity in the event of utility default.

At the same time, the document lays down standards of efficiency and performance for the power producers and provides for safeguards and regulatory oversight for incentivising efficiency and fuel management and procurement.