Wed Jul 25, 2012
* Soy ticks down, rains may help drought-hit crop
* Corn, wheat rebound as supply concerns resurface
* Reuters poll sees corn yield at 130.8 bushels
By Naveen Thukral
SINGAPORE, July 25 (Reuters) - U.S. new-crop soybeans edged lower on Wednesday, falling for a third straight session with forecasts of rain in parts of the Midwest offering some relief as the crop enters its yield-determining phase.
Corn bounced back after losses in early Asian trade as much of the damage from the U.S. grain belt's worst drought in half a century is irreversible, while wheat tracked corn higher.
The pressure on soybeans following a month-long record breaking rally also comes as global financial markets face headwinds from the euro zone's festering debt problems.
"Early losses have started to turn around as the grain markets are torn between extremely alarming supply situation on one hand and expectations that current prices will induce demand rationing on the other hand," said Luke Mathews, a commodities strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
"Particularly, given the weak global economic environment."
Asian shares fell and the euro wobbled above multi-year lows against major currencies as soaring borrowing costs deepened worries that Spain might need a bailout, while Greece appeared unlikely to meet terms conditional to its aid package.
Chicago Board of Trade new-crop December corn rose 0.7 percent to $7.83-3/4 a bushel by 0453 GMT, while actively traded November soy fell 0.1 percent, or 1-3/4 cents, to $15.67-3/4 a bushel. September wheat added 0.8 percent to $8.85-3/4 a bushel.
The forecast-rain gave hope for a recovery in soybeans, which enter their pod-setting yield stage later than corn.
Heavy rain hit the northern U.S. Midwest on Tuesday morning with more forecast for the same area in the next 10 days, an agricultural meteorologist said.
The weather outlook offset a U.S. government report that showed the condition of corn and soybean crops continued to deteriorate, though damage occurred at a slower pace following scattered rains in the eastern part of the Midwest grain belt.
Crop conditions remained at their lowest levels since 1988, but the rate of decline was slowing. Crop ratings were seen stabilizing in the next few weeks due to the forecasts for improving weather conditions.
A Reuters poll of 11 analysts on Tuesday projected 2012 average U.S. corn yield at 130.8 bushels per acre, the lowest in 10 years with total production at a six-year low.
Scouts on a Midwest crop tour saw corn plants in western Indiana that failed to form ears and will likely go unharvested.
Elsewhere, good weather in China's corn regions has raised expectations that the world's second-largest consumer will have a bumper September harvest, and slowing demand from the corn processing industry will also ease pressure on supplies, analysts said.
Wheat futures, which have followed corn higher for the past month, fell as investors shed positions picked up during the rally.
Prices at 0453 GMT
Contract Last Change Pct chg Two-day chg MA 30 RSI
CBOT wheat 885.75 7.00 +0.80% -2.96% 816.35 58
CBOT corn 783.75 5.50 +0.71% -0.22% 696.08 58
CBOT soy 1567.75 -1.75 -0.11% -3.36% 1512.46 50
CBOT rice $15.17 -$0.01 -0.10% -1.84% $15.09 50
WTI crude $88.32 -$0.18 -0.20% +0.20% $84.92 50
Currencies
Euro/dlr $1.208 -$0.005 -0.40% -0.66%
USD/AUD 1.023 -0.013 -1.23% -1.34%
Most active contracts
Wheat, corn and soy US cents/bushel. Rice: USD per hundredweight
RSI 14, exponential
(Editing by Ed Davies)
* Soy ticks down, rains may help drought-hit crop
* Corn, wheat rebound as supply concerns resurface
* Reuters poll sees corn yield at 130.8 bushels
By Naveen Thukral
SINGAPORE, July 25 (Reuters) - U.S. new-crop soybeans edged lower on Wednesday, falling for a third straight session with forecasts of rain in parts of the Midwest offering some relief as the crop enters its yield-determining phase.
Corn bounced back after losses in early Asian trade as much of the damage from the U.S. grain belt's worst drought in half a century is irreversible, while wheat tracked corn higher.
The pressure on soybeans following a month-long record breaking rally also comes as global financial markets face headwinds from the euro zone's festering debt problems.
"Early losses have started to turn around as the grain markets are torn between extremely alarming supply situation on one hand and expectations that current prices will induce demand rationing on the other hand," said Luke Mathews, a commodities strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
"Particularly, given the weak global economic environment."
Asian shares fell and the euro wobbled above multi-year lows against major currencies as soaring borrowing costs deepened worries that Spain might need a bailout, while Greece appeared unlikely to meet terms conditional to its aid package.
Chicago Board of Trade new-crop December corn rose 0.7 percent to $7.83-3/4 a bushel by 0453 GMT, while actively traded November soy fell 0.1 percent, or 1-3/4 cents, to $15.67-3/4 a bushel. September wheat added 0.8 percent to $8.85-3/4 a bushel.
The forecast-rain gave hope for a recovery in soybeans, which enter their pod-setting yield stage later than corn.
Heavy rain hit the northern U.S. Midwest on Tuesday morning with more forecast for the same area in the next 10 days, an agricultural meteorologist said.
The weather outlook offset a U.S. government report that showed the condition of corn and soybean crops continued to deteriorate, though damage occurred at a slower pace following scattered rains in the eastern part of the Midwest grain belt.
Crop conditions remained at their lowest levels since 1988, but the rate of decline was slowing. Crop ratings were seen stabilizing in the next few weeks due to the forecasts for improving weather conditions.
A Reuters poll of 11 analysts on Tuesday projected 2012 average U.S. corn yield at 130.8 bushels per acre, the lowest in 10 years with total production at a six-year low.
Scouts on a Midwest crop tour saw corn plants in western Indiana that failed to form ears and will likely go unharvested.
Elsewhere, good weather in China's corn regions has raised expectations that the world's second-largest consumer will have a bumper September harvest, and slowing demand from the corn processing industry will also ease pressure on supplies, analysts said.
Wheat futures, which have followed corn higher for the past month, fell as investors shed positions picked up during the rally.
Prices at 0453 GMT
Contract Last Change Pct chg Two-day chg MA 30 RSI
CBOT wheat 885.75 7.00 +0.80% -2.96% 816.35 58
CBOT corn 783.75 5.50 +0.71% -0.22% 696.08 58
CBOT soy 1567.75 -1.75 -0.11% -3.36% 1512.46 50
CBOT rice $15.17 -$0.01 -0.10% -1.84% $15.09 50
WTI crude $88.32 -$0.18 -0.20% +0.20% $84.92 50
Currencies
Euro/dlr $1.208 -$0.005 -0.40% -0.66%
USD/AUD 1.023 -0.013 -1.23% -1.34%
Most active contracts
Wheat, corn and soy US cents/bushel. Rice: USD per hundredweight
RSI 14, exponential
(Editing by Ed Davies)
No comments:
Post a Comment