Monday 21 October 2013

Chinese iron ore futures fall on subdued steel demand outlook

Mon Oct 21, 2013
* Iron ore futures fall after rise on debut day

* Mills restocking curbed by tight cash flow

* Steel demand is typically sluggish in winter season
By Ruby Lian and Fayen Wong
SHANGHAI, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Chinese iron ore futures fell more than 1 percent on Monday as restocking by steel mills in the world's top consumer remained tepid on a sluggish demand
outlook for the alloy in the fourth quarter.

Steel demand typically slows down in November and December as construction activities in China's northern regions are hampered by the cold temperatures, which limits steel mills'
appetite for building inventories of the raw material.

"Mills' sales orders are weaker and they are short of cash flow which has restrained iron ore buying, wiping out upside for prices, though purchases in small volumes have kept prices
relatively steady for now," said an iron ore trader in Shanghai.

The most active 62 percent grade iron ore futures for May settlement on the Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 1.5 percent to a session low of 960 yuan ($160) a tonne. It closed
0.6 percent lower at 969 yuan.

The new contract closed 1.8 percent higher at 977 yuan on its debut on Friday. The contract price includes a 17 percent value added tax and other costs.

By comparison, the benchmark spot price for same grade iron ore .IO62-CNI=SI stood unchanged at $134.4 a tonne on Friday, according to provider Steel Index.

In the absence of a pick-up in orders from end users, Shagang, China's top privately-owned steelmaker, kept prices unchanged for late October bookings, traders said. That means
rebar will fetch 3,580 yuan a tonne and wire rod 3,640 yuan a tonne.

The most-traded January rebar contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange inched up 0.25 percent to close at 3,570 yuan a tonne after falling for three consecutive sessions.

"The cash flow will remain a big issue for mills until there is a big improvement in steel demand and some billet producers are cutting prices to withdraw cash," said an iron ore trader in
Beijing.

  Shanghai rebar futures and iron ore indexes at 0800 GMT

  Contract                          Last    Change   Pct Change
  SHFE REBAR JAN4                   3570     +9.00        +0.25
  THE STEEL INDEX 62 PCT INDEX     134.4     +0.00        +0.00
  METAL BULLETIN INDEX            134.78     +0.17        +0.13

  Rebar in yuan/tonne                                                
  Index in dollars/tonne, show close for the previous trading day
 ($1 = 6.0968 Chinese yuan)

(Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman and Anand Basu)

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