Tuesday, 23 October 2012

Soymeal exports gain pace on new supplies

23 OCT, 2012, REUTERS
MUMBAI: Soymeal exports are up sharply as the new season crop arrives, with deals so far for 1 million tonnes in October-December and more expected in coming weeks, industry officials said, helping ease tight global supplies due to a US drought.

Traders in India, Asia's top exporter, are offering discounts of around $10-15 per tonne to supplies from Brazil, Argentina and the United States as domestic output surges after poor availability in July-September that pushed shipments down 66 percent to 181,210 tonnes from a year ago.

"Soybean supplies are improving. Daily arrivals in the country have risen to 800,000 bags," Davish Jain, chief of the Indore-based Prestige Group, a soymeal exporter, told Reuters.

A bag is about 100 kg. The contracted 1 million tonnes of soymeal is heading mainly to Thailand, Indonesia, Japan and South Korea, Jain said.

Demand from sanctions-hit Iran has also picked up, he said. Soymeal exports to Iran doubled for the April-September period on a year ago, according to data from the Solvent Extractors' Association, and the country's leading exporter, Ruchi Soya, predicted last month they could hit 800,000 tonnes in 2012/13, up 60 percent on a year earlier.

Ruchi Soya's managing director, Dinesh Shahra, said then that total exports could hit 5 million tonnes in the year from Oct. 1, up 11 percent.

Indian soymeal is preferred by Asian buyers over Latin American supplies as it is derived from non-genetically modified soybean. Geographical proximity also makes Indian soymeal less expensive for Asian importers.

Japan, Vietnam, Thailand and Iran were key buyers of Indian soymeal in 2011/12.

"Exports demand is very good since we are offering a discount over other destinations," Rajesh Agrawal, chief co-ordinator at the Soybean Processors Association of India (SOPA), a top trade body, told Reuters.

"It will remain strong. The only concern is soybean supplies. They have risen, but may fall again in coming weeks due to festivals," he said.

Indians will celebrate Dussehra festival this week and Diwali, or the festival of lights, in November. Spot markets for agriculture commodities remain closed on key festival days and farmers also prefer to celebrate instead of harvesting crops.

PORT DELAYS

On Tuesday, Indian soymeal was offered at around $545 per tonne on a free on board basis at the western coast, dealers said. That is sharply down from an average price of $668 per tonne in September.

Soymeal exports could gain further momentum if port delays are cleared, and rise to 1.5 million tonnes in Oct-Dec on robust demand, Jain said.

"Congestion at ports is slowing down the pace of exports. If congestion comes down, then we can export even higher quantity," Jain said.

However, there could be strong competition for supplies from the local animal feed industry, especially as the peak consumption period of winter approaches.

"Local demand is also very strong. That is reducing the surplus for exports," Agrawal said.

The Indian poultry and animal feed industry has been restocking as inventory was depleted in the July-September quarter due to thin supplies and higher prices, said an oil miller based in Indore, who declined to be named.

By 0553 GMT, the key soybean November contract on India's National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange was down 1.19 percent at 3,382 rupees per 100 kg. ($631 per tonne)

India's soybean production in 2012/13 is likely to rise 8.8 percent from a year earlier to 12.67 million tonnes on the back of higher acreage and better per hectare yields, an industry body said earlier this month.

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